Beast Mode is coming to Oakland. Well, at least the merchandise is.
No disrespect to Marshawn Lynch, but I’m finding it more and more difficult to get excited about a 31 year-old running back who didn’t play in 2016 and was bad/hurt in 2015. If we’re talking range of probability, it seems like him getting a starter’s workload, being good and staying healthy has to be pretty low in that range, right? That’s while I’ll be avoiding him if his 4th or 5th round ADP holds.
But that doesn’t mean I’m down on the Raiders offense. Far from it. They’ve got everything in place to be the class of the AFC West and the biggest challenger to the Patriots. Let’s take a look at the expectations:
Oakland Raiders Football
|Player||Expected FP||Position Rank||Expected PPR FP||Position Rank|
|Amari Cooper OAK WR||172.1||8||259.1||9|
|Michael Crabtree OAK WR||138.4||20||222.4||18|
|Marshawn Lynch OAK RB||119.2||30||135.2||35|
|Derek Carr OAK QB||318.4||15||318.4||15|
|Jared Cook OAK TE||70.3||24||107.3||25|
|Jalen Richard OAK RB||84.4||46||120.4||40|
|DeAndre Washington OAK RB||74.9||52||102.9||50|
Breaking down the touches
This will be the third year together for Jack Del Rio and Derek Carr, but the first with new offensive coordinator Todd Downing. Downing hasn’t give any indication that he has big changes in plan so I’m still expecting pretty close to a 60/40 split in favor of passing plays. If anything I could see the Raiders with more positive game scripts in 2017, which could lead to fewer pass plays. But I don’t think the change will be significant.
The addition of Jared Cook may mean they throw to tight ends slightly more than the 14 percent they did in 2016, but I wouldn’t expect more than the 18 percent they had in 2015. Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree should still dominate targets. Here’s what I’m expecting in terms of touches for the offense:
The backup running backs in Oakland are two of the most interesting. On an efficiency basis, Washington and Richard were both very good last year but that may have been because of their low usage. That’s a compliment to the coaching staff, if nothing else. There’s a decent chance that at this stage in their career one or both is a better running back than a 31 year-old Lynch. Their draft cost is almost nothing and I like both as late fliers.
Source: CBS Sports
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